RAS Global AffairsПроблемы Дальнего Востока Problemy dalnego vostoka

  • ISSN (Print) 0131-2812
  • ISSN (Online) 2712-9098

Reconstruction of D. Trump’s Strategy toward DPRK: Course for Regional Architecture Transformation?

PII
S032120680004157-6-
DOI
10.31857/S032120680004157-6
Publication type
Article
Status
Published
Authors
Volume/ Edition
Volume / Issue 3
Pages
85-98
Abstract

On fundament of historical data D. Trump’s policy toward DPRK is reconstructed. To reach the goal author applied two innovatory methods: humanitarian correlation analysis and progressive reconstruction. After D. Trump’s North Korean policy comparison with U.S. one toward USSR in 1980 – early 1990ths its three stages had been isolated: tensions, détente, regional architecture transformation. In 2017 during the first stage United States forced North Korea to begin a dialog. Détente stage had been started in 2018. It’s forecasted the stage will be long and its dynamics will be unstable. Stage of regional architecture transformation is mostly remote. U.S. official narrative, place of DPRK in the region and Polish history of early 1990ths several data had been analyzed to reconstruct it. In case of the strategy realization next probable trends are forecasted. Because of North Korean labour force hiring prohibition regional labour market will be transformed. In case of sanctions lifting foreign investment in DPRK transportation routes will be limited. United States and Republic of Korea will weaken Russian and Chinese political.

Keywords
USA, Donald Trump, North Korea, foreign policy, regional architecture
Date of publication
13.03.2019
Year of publication
2019
Number of purchasers
89
Views
1992

References

  1. 1. Grinevskij O.A. Perelom. Ot Brezhneva k Gorbachyovu. M.: Olma Media Grupp, 2004. 624 s.
  2. 2. Dobrynin A.F. Sugubo doveritel'no. Posol v Vashingtone pri shesti prezidentakh SShA (1962–1986 gg.) M.: Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya, 2008. S. 502–503.
  3. 3. Zakharova L.V., 2013. Vneshneehkonomicheskie svyazi KNDR v XXI veke i perspektivy ikh razvitiya pri Kim Chen Yne // Problemy Dal'nego Vostoka, №10, s. 81–97.
  4. 4. Shvejtser P., 1995. Rol' tajnoj strategii SShA v raspade Sovetskogo Soyuza i sotsialisticheskogo lagerya. (Per. s angl.) Minsk: Avest. 474 s.
  5. 5. Campbell K.M. 2016. The Pivot. The Future of American Statecraft in Asia. New York–Boston: Twelve. P. 171-172.
  6. 6. Schlesinger A.M., Jr., 1999. The Cycles of American History. Boston–New York: A Mariner Book. 498 p.
  7. 7. Schweizer P., 1994. Victory: The Reagan Administration’s Secret Strategy that Has-tened the Collapse of the Soviet Union. Boston: The Atlantic Monthly Press. 300 p.
QR
Translate

Индексирование

Scopus

Scopus

Scopus

Crossref

Scopus

Higher Attestation Commission

At the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation

Scopus

Scientific Electronic Library