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Reconstruction of D. Trump’s Strategy toward DPRK: Course for Regional Architecture Transformation?
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Reconstruction of D. Trump’s Strategy toward DPRK: Course for Regional Architecture Transformation?
Annotation
PII
S032120680004157-6-
DOI
10.31857/S032120680004157-6
Publication type
Article
Status
Published
Authors
Vitalii Boldyrev 
ORCID: 0000-0002-2354-8197
Occupation: Junior Researcher
Affiliation: Institute of History, Archaeology and Ethnography of the Peoples of Far-East, Far Eastern Branch of the
Address: Russian Federation, Vladivostok
Edition
Issue 3
Pages
85-98
Abstract

On fundament of historical data D. Trump’s policy toward DPRK is reconstructed. To reach the goal author applied two innovatory methods: humanitarian correlation analysis and progressive reconstruction. After D. Trump’s North Korean policy comparison with U.S. one toward USSR in 1980 – early 1990ths its three stages had been isolated: tensions, détente, regional architecture transformation. In 2017 during the first stage United States forced North Korea to begin a dialog. Détente stage had been started in 2018. It’s forecasted the stage will be long and its dynamics will be unstable. Stage of regional architecture transformation is mostly remote. U.S. official narrative, place of DPRK in the region and Polish history of early 1990ths several data had been analyzed to reconstruct it. In case of the strategy realization next probable trends are forecasted. Because of North Korean labour force hiring prohibition regional labour market will be transformed. In case of sanctions lifting foreign investment in DPRK transportation routes will be limited. United States and Republic of Korea will weaken Russian and Chinese political.

Keywords
USA, Donald Trump, North Korea, foreign policy, regional architecture
Acknowledgment
The research is supported by FEB RAS grant “Conflict potential and tensions zones at eastern borders of Russia: structural transformations and development forecasts”, No. 18-5-040.
Received
12.12.2018
Date of publication
13.03.2019
Number of purchasers
89
Views
1785
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0.0 (0 votes)
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S032120680004157-6-1 Дата внесения правок в статью - 22.02.2019
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