Везде

RAS Global AffairsПроблемы Дальнего Востока Problemy dalnego vostoka

  • ISSN (Print) 0131-2812
  • ISSN (Online) 2712-9098

The Views of Chinese Military Analysts on the Strategic Aspects of Deterrence

You can
PII
S0131281225020106-1
DOI
10.31857/S0131281225020106
Publication type
Article
Status
Published
Authors
I. R Dubrovskiy
  • Occupation: Applicant at the Department of theory and history of international relations
  • Affiliation: Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia named after Patrice Lumumba
Volume/ Edition
Volume / Issue number 2
Pages
140-153
Abstract
The article is devoted to the peculiarities of interpreting China's deterrence strategy in the context of global competition, primarily with the United States. The author examines the key features of the Chinese theorists' approach, which differs from the Western concept of deterrence. Unlike the traditional Western understanding, which focuses on dissuading the enemy from aggression, the Chinese strategy includes deterrence and coercion, considering them as interrelated elements. The paper examines in detail the approaches of Chinese authors on three main types of deterrence: nuclear, space and information. At the same time, the author notes that these types are interconnected with each other — the nuclear potential serves as the basis for a retaliatory strike, while the remaining elements provide strategic flexibility. Special attention is paid to the approaches of Chinese theorists to the importance of strategic weapons, cyber and space countermeasures, as well as the integration of military and non-military instruments into a single system of influence. The article examines the evolution of Chinese military doctrine, including the change in approaches after the reforms of the PLA in 2015. The author concludes that China's deterrence strategy is aimed not only at preventing conflict, but also at achieving specific political goals, which makes it a flexible instrument of international policy. For China, deterrence is not an end in itself, but a dynamic process combining a show of force, manipulation of an opponent's perception, and adaptation to changing threats, which allows for flexible influence on the international situation in the interests of national policy. In the context of the global redistribution of forces, the concept of deterrence, which has been formed in the scientific and military discourse of the PRC, plays a key role in ensuring China's national security, as well as has a constructive impact on international stability.
Keywords
Внешняя политика КНР НОАК военный потенциал КНР стратегия сдерживания ядерное оружие соперничество в космосе киберпространство стратегическая конкуренция США и КНР
Date of publication
02.11.2025
Year of publication
2025
Number of purchasers
0
Views
48

References

  1. 1. Виноградов А.В. «Однополярная Азия»: китайский региональный порядок // Мировая экономика и международные отношения. 2021. Т. 65. № 3. С. 23–32.
  2. 2. Vinogradov A.V. “Odnopolyarnaya Aziya”: kitajskij regional'nyj poryadok ["Unipolar Asia": the Chinese Regional Order]. Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. 2021. T. 65. No. 3. S. 23–32. (In Russ.)
  3. 3. Конкуренция между США и КНР: возможности для России / Под ред. Д.А. Дегтерева. М.: Издательство «Аспект Пресс», 2024. 300 с.
  4. 4. Konkurenciya mezhdu SSHA i KNR: vozmozhnosti dlya Rossii [Competition between the USA and China: Opportunities for Russia] / Pod red. D.A. Degtereva. M.: Izdatel'stvo «Aspekt Press», 2024. 300 s. (In Russ.)
  5. 5. Chang Xianqi. Military Astronautics. Beijing: National Defense Industries Press. 2005. 279 p.
  6. 6. Cheng D. An Overview of Chinese Thinking About Deterrence in NL ARMS Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2020 ed. by F. Osinga, T. Weiss. Hague: Asser Press. 2021. P. 177–200.
  7. 7. Chinese Military Encyclopedia, 2nd ed. Military Strategy. Beijing: China Encyclopedia Publishing House. 2000. P. 279–284.
  8. 8. Dean Cheng. PLA Perspectives on Network Warfare in “Informationized Local Wars” // The Heritage Foundation. 2022. 16 p.
  9. 9. Deng Liqun, Ma Hong, Wu Heng. China Today: Defense Science and Technology, Vol. I. Beijing: National Defense Industry Press. 1995. 201 p.
  10. 10. George A., Smoke R. Deterrence in American Foreign Policy: Theory and Practice. New York: Columbia University Press. 1974. 666 p.
  11. 11. Jiang Lianju. Space Operations Teaching Materials. Beijing: Military Science Publishing House. 2013. 40 p.
  12. 12. Langeland K., Grossman D. Tailoring Deterrence for China in Space. Santa Monica: RAND Corporation, 2021. 70 p.
  13. 13. Mazarr M.J. et al What Deters and Why: Lessons of Deterrence Theory and Practice for U.S. Army Forces and Capabilities. Santa Monica: RAND Corporation. 2018. 232 p.
  14. 14. Mearsheimer, J. Conventional Deterrence. Ithaca: Cornell University Press. 1983. 289 p.
  15. 15. Peng Guangqian, Yao Youzhi. The Science of Military Strategy. Beijing: Military Science Publishing House, 2005. 504 p.
  16. 16. Schelling T. Arms and Influence. New Haven: Yale University Press. 1966. 336 p.
  17. 17. Snyder G. Deterrence and Defence in The Use of Force ed. by R. Art. New York: University Press of America. 1988. 254 p.
  18. 18. Xiao Tianliang. The Science of Military Strategy. Beijing: China Aerospace Studies Institute. 2020. 466 p.
  19. 19. Xie Xiang. National Security Strategy Teaching Materials. Beijing: Military Science Publishing House. 2013. 372 p.
  20. 20. Ye Zheng. Science of Information Operations Teaching Materials. Beijing: Military Science Publishing House. 2013. 25 p.
  21. 21. Zhou Peng, Wen Enbing. Developing the Theory of Strategic Deterrence with Chinese Characteristics // China Military Science. Vol. 3. No. 20. 2004. Pp. 19–26.
  22. 22. 中国人民解放军军语 [Военная терминология Народно-освободительной армии Китая]. 全军军事术语管理委员会. 北京: 国防大学出版社. 2011年. 288
  23. 23. 中国人民解放军军语 [Military terminology of the People's Liberation Army of China] / 全军军事术语管理委员会. 北京: 国防大学出版社. 2011年. 288 页. (In Chin.)
  24. 24. 页. 军事变革中的新概念: 解读200条军事术语 [Новые концепции в военных преобразованиях: Интерпретация 200 военных терминов]. 北京: 中国人民解放军出版社. 2004年. 246 页.
  25. 25. 军事变革中的新概念: 解读200条军事术语 [New concepts in military transformations: Interpretation of 200 military terms]. 北京: 中国人民解放军出版社. 2004年. 246 页. (In Chin.)
  26. 26. 寿晓松: 战略学 [Шу Сяосун. Наука о военной стратегии]. 北京: 军事科学出版社, 2013年. 296 页.
  27. 27. 寿晓松: 战略学 [Shu Xiaosong. The Science of military strategy]. 北京: 军事科学出版社, 2013年. 296 页. (In Chin.)
  28. 28. 张岩: 战略威慑理论的历史演进 [Чжан Янь. Историческая эволюция теории стратегического сдерживания] // 军事历史. 2018年. 02号. 第56–61页.
  29. 29. 张岩: 战略威慑理论的历史演进 [Zhang Yan. Historical evolution of the theory of strategic deterrence]. 军事历史. 2018年. 02号. 第56–61页. (In Chin.)
  30. 30. 袁艺: 浅析网络空间威慑的特征、类型和运用要点 [Юань И. Краткий анализ характеристик, типов и точек применения средств сдерживания в ки берпространстве] // 解放军报社. 05.01.2016. URL: http://www.81.cn/jskj/2016–01/05/content_6844848_2.htm (дата обращения: 04.02.2025).
  31. 31. 袁艺: 浅析网络空间威慑的特征, 类型和运用要点 [Yuan Yi. A brief analysis of the characteristics, types and points of application of deterrence in cyberspace]. 解放军报社. 05.01.2016. URL: http://www.81.cn/jskj/2016–01/05/content_6844848_2.htm (accessed: 04.02.2025). (In Chin.)
  32. 32. 陈浩: 中国军事战略思维的守正与创新 [Чэнь Хао. Целостность и инновационность военно-стратегического мышления Китая] // 南方论刊. 2023年. 09号. 第42–47页.
  33. 33. 陈浩: 中国军事战略思维的守正与创新 [Chen Hao. The integrity and innovativeness of China's military-strategic thinking]. 南方论刊. 2023年. 09号. 第42–47页. (In Chin.)
  34. 34. 姜连举: 空间作战学教程 [Цзян Ляньцзю. Лекции по космическим операциям]. 北京: 军事科学出版社, 2013年. 285 页.
  35. 35. 姜连举: 空间作战学教程 [Jiang Lianju. Lectures on the Science of Space Operations]. 北京: 军事科学出版社, 2013年. 285 页. (In Chin.)
  36. 36. 赵锡君: 慑战:导弹威慑纵横谈 [Чжао Сицзюнь. Война устрашения: Комплексная дискуссия о ракетном сдерживании]. 北京: 军事科学出版社, 2005年. 258 页.
  37. 37. 赵锡君: 慑战: 导弹威慑纵横谈 [Zhao Xijun. Intimidation Warfare: A Comprehensive Discussion of Missile Deterrence]. 北京: 军事科学出版社, 2005年. 258 页. (In Chin.)
  38. 38. 凌胜银, 彭爱华: 我国战略威慑能力建设研究 [Лин Шеньинь, Пэн Айхуа. Исследования по наращиванию потенциала стратегического сдерживания нашей страны]. 北京: 人民出版社. 2019年. 246 页.
  39. 39. 凌胜银, 彭爱华: 我国战略威慑能力建设研究 [Ling Shengyin, Peng Aihua. Research on the construction of our country's strategic deterrence capacity]. 北京: 人民出版社. 2019年. 246 页. (In Chin.)
  40. 40. 郝晓雪, 王忠, 韩光松: 高超声速飞行器作战运用探要 [Хао Сяосюэ, Ван Чжун, Хань Гуансун. Исследование возможностей боевого применения гиперзвуковых летательных аппаратов] // 舰船电子工程, 2021年. 41(7)号. 第12–16页.
  41. 41. 郝晓雪, 王忠, 韩光松: 高超声速飞行器作战运用探要 [Hao Xiaoxue, Wang Zhong, Han Guangsong. Discussion on the Operational Applications of Hypersonic Vehicles]. 舰船电子工程, 2021年. 第41(7)号. 第12–16页. (In Chin.)
  42. 42. 王厚卿, 张兴业: 战役学 [Ван Хоуцин, Чжан Синье. О военных кампаниях]. 北京: 国防大学出版社, 2000年. 498 页.
  43. 43. 王厚卿, 张兴业: 战役学 [Wang Houqing, Zhang Xingye. On Military Campaigns]. 北京: 国防大学出版社, 2000年. 498 页. (In Chin.)
QR
Translate

Индексирование

Scopus

Scopus

Scopus

Crossref

Scopus

Higher Attestation Commission

At the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation

Scopus

Scientific Electronic Library